Were back with another edition of PGA This site is strictly intended for adults (18+) Play with trusted, licensed operators. He gained 5.43 strokes on approach at the Fortinet Championship and again 7.03 at the CJ Cup. And be sure to subscribe to "The Loop" wherever you get your podcasts! Hes played this event once, finishing T-49 in 2015. He got his first career victory less than a month later and finished the season with four. Morikawa is going to contend often this season with this stat profile. There is trouble lurking off nearly every tee shot, and youll certainly see a few big numbers this week. Todd also comes into the event ranked 12th for Opportunities Gained over the last two months and 20th for SG/total over the last two months. CJ Cup: Sungjae Im. RELATED: Want to become a better golf bettor? Caddie: Brendon Todd (+100) over Seamus Power (Bet365) Todd, a former winner here, has been playing some spectacular golf this Fall. If you or someone you know wants help, call 1-800-GAMBLER. Mayo: Adam Long (-110) over J.J. Spaun (DraftKings) Long hasnt had much juice recently but he is the prototype for a solid result at Mayakoba. Written by Jason Rouslin and released on Sunday evenings. 2023 Genesis Invitational Golf DFS Fades & Pivots: Whats Wrong With Tom Kim? He gained more than 14 strokes from tee-to-green in those eight rounds but lost over eight strokes with his putter. Its not surprising then to see that he ranks fourth in the FanShareSports Course Suitability Ranking this week. World No. Those who can avoid disaster and grind their way through 72 holes will give themselves a chance to hoist the trophy on Sunday night. Lee Alldrick, FanShare Sports: Brendon Todd (45-1, DraftKings) Todd is a past winner here at Mayakoba and also has a further eighth-place and 11th-place finish to his name here. Hes also got decent history at Mayakoba, having finished T-3 here two years ago. 2022 FedEx St. Jude Championship Sleepers: How to Bet Hideki Matsuyama, Corey Conners & Matt Kuchar, Join Stokastic Plus and Team with the #1 DFS Player, 2023 Honda Classic DFS Picks & Core Plays: Jhonattan Vegas Has Value, 2023 Honda Classic PGA DFS Targets: Christiaan Bezuidenhout the Ultimate Boom/Bust Play, PGA DFS Optimizer Picks Honda Classic: Shane Lowry One of Few High-End Options in Limited Field. See the full Arnold Palmer Invitational 2023 picks, best bets, and predictions here. And be sure to subscribe to "The Loop" wherever you get your podcasts! Berrymans Arnold Palmer Invitational Core Plays: Few Handle Wind as Well as Scottie Scheffler. Accuracy and irons can most definitely prevail at Mayakoba as long as you make a few putts, and Grillo has actually gained with the putter in eight of his past nine starts; good for five top 10s over that stretch. The pairs will need to make a lot of them to have a chance to win. 2022 Stokastic.com LLC. WebLatest golf news from PGA TOUR, PGA TOUR Champions, KornFerry TOUR CBS Sports is a registered trademark of CBS Broadcasting Inc. Commissioner.com is a registered trademark of CBS Interactive Inc. site: media | arena: golf | pageType: stories | Hopefully he can ride his sterling swing-season form, pick up another win and make things right with El Tucan. Aaron Baddeley Its not easy to get into the Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard while navigating a season on Past Champion status, and hes in on merit to boot. I was excited to see Englishs T-12 last week at Riviera until I saw the 8.8 strokes he gained puttingthe best putting performance of his career, per the RickRunGood.com golf database. This run of good form has resulted in two top-10 PGA Tour finishes in his last four events. Which overlooked golfer could pull off a victory that would pay off at more than 60-1? Thats, by far, the best mark in this field. Pebble Beach Golf Links 2. Affiliate Program Refer Friends & Earn! Powers, Golf Digest: Davis Riley (+650, DraftKings) Riley has fallen out of favor with the gambling community of late thanks to some so-so results, but his irons have still been cooking. Bermuda: Mark Hubbard. Oh, and a lot of laughs along the way. I think theyre all viable plays, but the rest of the field is justifiably a tier behind them. The model also included J.T. Hes gained 17.03 strokes putting over his last six measured starts, per the RickRunGood.com golf database. Take me to the Rocket League category page! Hovland on the other hand comes into this event looking to complete the hat trick of wins here in the space of three years. Powers, Golf Digest: Maverick McNealy (18-1, DraftKings) McNealy is on a streak of three consecutive top-20 finishes, but its all thanks to a scorching hot putter. The uncommon paspalum greens could level the playing field for him as a putter, and that could boost him up big time. Now he heads back to Bay Hill, where he has dominated in his careerhe has gained a staggering 74.68 strokes to the field across eight starts, or just over 9.3 strokes per event, which includes a win in 2018 and six other top-15s. Will Zalatoris tees off on the tenth during the third round of the World Golf Championships-Dell Technologies Match Play golf tournament. GOLF DIGEST MAY EARN A PORTION OF SALES FROM PRODUCTS THAT ARE PURCHASED THROUGH OUR SITE AS PART OF OUR AFFILIATE PARTNERSHIPS WITH RETAILERS. RELATED: Want to become a better golf bettor? PGA Tour odds, lines, picks and Griffin rebounded from an MC at Pebble Beach by finishing T-21 last week in Florida. His value will be flattened on course history alone -- since his debut in 2020, hes gone T18-7th-T20 but thats OK because its the kind of consistently strong form we want in every investment, not to mention that hes navigated Bay Hill in a variety of conditions to extend that confidence into this weeks fray. 2023 Puerto Rico Open odds, field. Since his emergence on the scene last summer, there is no golfer in this field gaining as many strokes on approach (0.75 per round) in as many rounds (67) as Kim. A strong field will tee off Thursday beginning at 11:30 a.m. TPC Scottsdale 3. Even at 38 years of age, hes consistently among the longest hitters off the tee, and because of that, hes among the most accurate on approach. Hes gained 10-plus strokes to the field five times during that run, per the RickRunGood.com golf database. Hovland stepped up to the tee at the par-3 No. Odds were sourced on Tuesday, Feb. 28, 2023. Confidence is high for Ryder, who is playing the best golf of his life right now. After one of the most memorable California Swings in recent memory, the PGA Tour kicks off its Florida Swing this week at the Honda Classic. If he puts together four complete rounds, Day will likely be in contention when Sunday comes around and McClure sees huge value in taking him to finish in the top-20. A look at past performance charts from Golfstats site founder Sal Johnson shows golfers in the field this year who have finished top-10 multiple times over the last six years include: Rory McIlroy, Marc Leishman, Matthew Fitzpatrick, Tyrrell Hatton, Sungjae Im, Tommy Fleetwood, Chris Kirk, Luke List, Keith Mitchell and Lucas Glover. His last eight starts have all been T-13 or better with five top-five finishes. Rick Gehman, data scientist and RickRunGood.com founder: Tony Finau (18-1, BetMGM) Finau has yet to make his 2023 season debut, but dont allow yourself to forget how he finished last season. This website is for entertainment purposes only and does not offer real money bets. His biggest question mark is his putter, but hes gained strokes on the greens in three of his past four starts. His best finish over nine starts is a T-26 and hes the only golfer in the field who has played at least 30 rounds here and is losing strokes to the field. Thats the recipe for his two top 10s and no finish worse than 22nd in three starts. He is followed by Cantlay (19-2), Scheffler (11-1) and Tony Finau (15-1) as top contenders in The American Express 2023 field. Grant has quietly flashed brilliance this year, earning a T-25 at Torrey Pines and a T-20 at Pebble Beach. Hes top 10 in driving accuracy over the past year, according to datagolf, and hes second in SG/approach in that span, as well. Detry certainly seems to be building toward something big. On the other hand, Scheffler's putting can be a weakness, but he can make up for it with every other part of his game. Poston. 13 in the Power Rankings for The Honda Classic, he was comfortably inside the top 10 entering the final round before falling into a five-way tie for 21st with a Sunday 73. Hes working on a four-year streak of top-10 finishes, including a runner-up in 2019. Listen to Golf Digest's weekly betting podcast, "The Loop" (above), where we interview the industry's leading experts (and sometimes tour pros) to help you make your bets and pick your fantasy lineups. The PGA Tour heads to Palm Beach Gardens, Florida this week for the 2023 Honda Classic, a tournament that features one of the weakest fields, The West Coast swing is officially over, and that means the PGA Tour heads to Florida. He held the lead for much of the Farmers Insurance Open, finishing T-4, before consecutive T-20 finishes in Phoenix and Los Angeles. 2023 Honda Classic Best Bets & Predictions: Fade Matt Kuchar? He also ranked second in birdie average (4.6 per round) and fourth in scoring average (69.3). Every year, theres a contingent of native and resident Southeasterners who find a return to bermuda greens as comfortable as sliding on a favorite T-shirt. The pair of Cameron Smith and Marc Leishman enter as the defending champions, while the betting favorites are Viktor Hovland and Collin Morikawa (+600). 2004-2023 CBS Interactive. Luke List Anytime (every time?) BetMGM + Stokastic Promo Get 1 Free Month! Here are the players who have my interestand those who certainly dontthis week at the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational. His perception has been buoyed by two straight third-place finishes at the Sony Open and American Express. hes lined up to tackle a brutish backdrop, he demands our attention. RELATED: What to make of LIV Golfs tumultuous inaugural season. Now, McDonald has studied the 2023 The American Express field and has locked in his best bets, top sleepers and favorites to avoid. 2023 Sentry Tournament of Champions First Round Leader Picks: Aaron Wise Off to a Hot Start? It wont be all fun and games this week because PGA National is one of the toughest tests in all of golf. , I always thought the wrap-around-a-lake par-5 sixth was Dick Wilson's version of Robert Trent Jones's decade-older 13th at The Dunes Club at Myrtle Beach. Gehman: Zecheng Dou (180-1, DraftKings) Dou just posted his best finish of the season, a T-17 in Bermuda last week. Shriners: Sungjae Im. WebPGA Tour betting predictions, tips, analysis and best picks surrounding PGA Tour events, including outright, PGA Tour prop bets and much more. How about two idiots talking PGA Tour, golf betting, and everything in-between? 1 Scottie Scheffler is back in action and back in his rightful spot as the solo favorite. Alldrick, FanShare Sports: Scottie Scheffler (9-1, DraftKings) This price is too low for someone who has played just one event in the last nine weeks. Yes, hes first in SG/total. Golf Predictions. Day is elite in multiple metrics. The 2023 Genesis Invitational. Must be nice. He nailed the Houston Open, backing Tony Finau to win at 25-1, and is up almost seven units on his plays overall, a profit of nearly $700 for $100 bettors. Hickok snapped a streak of eight straight missed cuts with a T-29 at The Genesis Invitational. Course History Cheatsheet: A look at the entire fields history at the current weeks course. Anyone who follows McDonald's advice has been cashing in. With winds projected to gust, a couple of confident sharpshooters will surprise despite the length of the track. Svensson rebounded from MCs at Torrey Pines and Phoenix with a T-9 at Riviera, and hell find a reprieve in this field. If youre look for win equity in the 40-1+ range, look no further than J-Day. Sepp Straka (T-35, T-30, T-3), Percent chance to win (based on course history, fit, trending, etc. USE OF AND/OR REGISTRATION ON ANY PORTION OF THIS SITE CONSTITUTES ACCEPTANCE OF OURVISITOR AGREEMENT(UPDATED 1/6/23),PRIVACY AND COOKIES NOTICE(UPDATED 1/4/23) ANDCALIFORNIA PRIVACY NOTICE. Powers, Golf Digest: Austin Smotherman (200-1, BetMGM) Short knockers who can pure their irons usually fare well here, and thats exactly what Smotherman is. Hell look to find some putting improvements this week on the greens at PGA National. 1 ranking to Rory McIlroy, but he has not really been himself since Sunday at East Lake. Draft Wingman for DraftKings, Yahoo, ESPN, CBS, FFPC & More, Simulate your Fantasy Football Draft Against Awesemo's AI, The Fantasy Football Rankings Cheatsheet Hub, Breakouts, Sleepers, Deep Sleepers, and Busts, PGA DFS Rankings for DraftKings, FanDuel & Yahoo, Fantasy Golf: PGA DFS Projections for DraftKings, FanDuel, and Yahoo, PGA DFS Projections for Showdown and Weekend Daily Fantasy Golf, Top Golfers Tool PGA DFS Simulation Results for DraftKings, FanDuel and Yahoo, PGA Weather Splits for Daily Fantasy Golf and Betting, Daily Fantasy Golf: Power Rankings and Matchups, PGA DFS Pro Plays for Fantasy Golf Lineups on DraftKings + FanDuel. Now hell head to Bay Hill with little experience to bank on. Sungjae Im ($10,700 DraftKings | $11,900 FanDuel). And for a guy whos been batting about .500 for four seasons, its notable that hes 7-for-11 this season with a T25 at Torrey Pines and a T29 at Riviera. One of these players had an excellent finish his last time in Palm Springs and has been in solid form.You can find out who it is, and see the rest of McDonald's American Express picks, predictions, and best bets at SportsLine. Matt Fitzpatrick might be coming back down to earth after his US Open win so take Jon Rahm to beat the Englishman in a 72-hole match bet at -130 DraftKings Over the past 100 rounds, hes the fourth-best tee-to-green player in the field, per the RickRunGood.com golf database. The Approach: A picks and preview article from Nolan Kelly that uses some of @Awesemos projection for the week! THE MATERIAL ON THIS SITE MAY NOT BE REPRODUCED, DISTRIBUTED, TRANSMITTED, CACHED OR OTHERWISE USED, EXCEPT WITH THE PRIOR WRITTEN PERMISSION OF DISCOVERY GOLF, INC. 2023 DISCOVERY GOLF, INC. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED, World Wide Technology Championship picks 2022: Morikawa or Finau? His last four starts, not including the staggered-start Tour Championship, resulted in two wins and a T-5. With a pair of early top 10s among six paydays, the 41-year-old Aussie is an impressive 75th in the FedExCup. Since 2016, hes 6-for-6 in the API with a T10 in 2019. Byeong Hun An (+550 = Top 20) After slotting at No. As the Florida swing continues, the PGA Tour heads to Bay Hill Club and Lodge in Orlando for the Arnold Palmer Invitational, the third designated event in four weeks. Rick Gehman, founder of RickRunGood.com and the RickRunGood YouTube Channel, is one of the industrys leading experts on golf DFS and gambling. For the first time since his back injury last year, Zalatoris looked like himself again in his most recent start. Hes combining solid approach play with a hot putter to throw his name into the mix more consistently. Hes gained strokes with the flatstick in six of his last seven measured events. After debuting with a T17 in 2017, he piggybacked it with a T7 in 2018 and a T10 in 2019. Per stats guru Justin Ray, only two other players have pulled off the rare accomplishment in the past 40 years on tour. This event used to be one of, (Editors Note: Alex Noren withdrew from the Honda Classic after publication) The Honda Classic is a full-field event that features a 144-man starting list and, Were back with another edition of PGA DraftKings picks cheat sheets for the 2022-23 PGA Tour season. While that sounds great, its likely unsustainable. Course Fit ( compares golf courses based on the degree to which different golfer attributes such as driving distance to predict who performs well at each course DataGolf): 1. Millions in Winnings and Counting. Luke List ($7,300 DraftKings | $9,000 FanDuel). The 26-year-old hasn't been great in this event the past two years, but he did finish third in 2020. Here are the stats you should be paying attention to, From Golf Digest Architecture Editor emeritus Ron Whitten: While encouraging, that has been his best finish since his win at the BMW PGA Championship10 starts ago. Do Not Sell or Share My Personal Information. Scheffler has four straight top-10 finishes, including a runner-up at the Hero World Challenge.You can see who he is backing this week at The American Express 2023 at SportsLine. In addition, McClure's best bets included Collin Morikawa winning outright at the 2021 Open Championship, even though he was listed as a massive 40-1 long shot. His putter is better than average, but it won't keep him in contention. 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational Weather Report: Conditions to Affect Play? PGA Live Before Lock: 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational PGA DFS Picks. Before you lock in any 2023 American Express picks, be sure you check out the PGA Tour predictions and best bets from SportsLine golf insider Patrick McDonald. Caddie: Scottie Scheffler (9-1, DraftKings) I do worry about him coming in highly motivated after losing the No. Si Woo Kim, fresh off his Sony Open victory last week, also will compete, alongside the likes of Xander Schauffele, Will Zalatoris and Tom Kim. If he can just make a few putts, which is conceivable on the slow, paspalum greens, his irons and accuracy should have him hoisting a novelty check. And be sure to subscribe to "The Loop" wherever you get your podcasts! Min Woo Lee hasnt played an official PGA Tour event since the Open Championship (T-21) but has been crushing the DP World Tour as of late. Sanderson Farms Championship: Denny McCarthy. Against the Grain: A look at this weeks projected ownership from Jason Rouslin, and some against the grain plays to help provide variance in your GPP lineups. Shriners: Taylor Montgomery. While he still has work to do, many fully exempt members would love to trade places with that position, but it projects to improve at Bay Hill where he placed T17 in his last trip in 2019. Davis Riley Its like a rite of passage across the United States. ET, with world No. Hell need to rebound quickly, but against this field and with that recent stat profile, there are obvious concerns rostering him despite his upside. The PGA Tour's Fall Swing continues this week in Mexico, where the now former World No. Bay Hill also had the longest set of par-3 lengths on average in non-major courses last year. His iron play has been downright putrid, and Im not sure he can sustain gaining six strokes on the greens like he has the last two starts. Jon Rahm +700Rory McIlroy +950Scottie Scheffler +1100Max Homa +1900Collin Morikawa +2100Justin Thomas +2300Xander Schauffele +2400Will Zalatoris +2400Tony Finau +2800Patrick Cantlay +2800Jason Day +3100Viktor Hovland +3100Tyrrell Hatton +3600Matthew Fitzpatrick +3600Sungjae Im +4100Jordan Spieth +4100Cameron Young +4600Sam Burns +4800Tom Kim +5000Sahith Theegala +5500Hideki Matsuyama +5500Keith Mitchell +5500Chris Kirk +6500Shane Lowry +6500Corey Conners +7000Tommy Fleetwood +7000Keegan Bradley +7500Adam Scott +8500Billy Horschel +8500Rickie Fowler +8500Justin Rose +9000Adam Hadwin +9000Seamus Power +9000Gary Woodland +9000Min Woo Lee +11000Luke List +11000Taylor Montgomery +11000Tom Hoge +12000Wyndham Clark +12000Christiaan Bezuidenhout +12000Aaron Wise +12000Alex Noren +12000Ryan Fox +13000Si Woo Kim +13000Lucas Herbert +14000Nick Taylor +14000Adrian Meronk +15000Thomas Detry +16000Russell Henley +16000Brian Harman +17000Beau Hossler +17000Sepp Straka +18000K.H. The model was also all over Jon Rahm's (10-1) first career major championship victory at the 2021 U.S. Open. Now that hes warm, Bay Hill actually presents a better fit for his long ball off the tee, but in this beefier field, hes slipped behind the crowd, and thats good for us.
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